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trading-bot preview
MaintainedJan 2024

Measure the edge before you believe it

trading-bot

An Alpaca paper-trading bot built to answer one question — can a retail momentum system beat the market? — and the measurement work that showed the answer is no. Over 2020–2024 the best validated strategy returned +16.3% against SPY's +95.3%.

Data Science · Open Source

Highlights
  • An honest headline: +16.3% (Sharpe 0.16) for the best validated strategy against +95.3% (0.75) for SPY buy-and-hold, 2020–2024
  • Strategy and benchmark compared at matched gross exposure, so the comparison is like-for-like
  • Superseded runs still audit as NOT TRUSTWORTHY, reconstructing their defects from the trade log alone
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